Notre Dame
Atlantic Coast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.3#51
Expected Predictive Rating+8.8#58
Pace68.8#180
Improvement+1.0#138

Offense
Total Offense+6.5#33
First Shot+6.1#27
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#143
Layup/Dunks+0.0#171
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#143
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.7#14
Freethrows-1.0#249
Improvement+2.6#64

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#91
First Shot+4.4#55
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#315
Layups/Dunks+2.9#62
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#316
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#230
Freethrows+4.9#1
Improvement-1.6#261
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 4.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four4.2% n/a n/a
First Round2.1% n/a n/a
Second Round0.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 22 - 7
Quad 23 - 45 - 11
Quad 38 - 113 - 12
Quad 47 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 68   @ North Carolina L 65-74 44%     0 - 1 +1.7 -4.9 +6.8
  Nov 09, 2019 208   Robert Morris W 92-57 91%     1 - 1 +29.5 +14.5 +14.0
  Nov 12, 2019 349   Howard W 79-50 99%     2 - 1 +7.7 -8.1 +15.6
  Nov 15, 2019 142   Marshall W 74-64 84%     3 - 1 +8.6 -3.7 +11.6
  Nov 18, 2019 328   Presbyterian W 63-53 98%     4 - 1 -4.2 -10.2 +7.4
  Nov 21, 2019 154   Toledo W 64-62 OT 86%     5 - 1 -0.1 -21.8 +21.4
  Nov 26, 2019 282   Fairleigh Dickinson W 91-66 95%     6 - 1 +15.2 +12.3 +3.5
  Dec 04, 2019 10   @ Maryland L 51-72 20%     6 - 2 -3.0 -12.4 +9.1
  Dec 07, 2019 159   Boston College L 72-73 86%     6 - 3 0 - 1 -3.4 -1.6 -1.8
  Dec 10, 2019 304   Detroit Mercy W 110-71 96%     7 - 3 +27.9 +24.3 +1.9
  Dec 14, 2019 71   UCLA W 75-61 69%     8 - 3 +18.3 +6.3 +12.6
  Dec 21, 2019 34   Indiana L 60-62 42%     8 - 4 +9.5 +0.0 +9.2
  Dec 29, 2019 344   Alabama A&M W 82-56 99%     9 - 4 +7.7 +0.1 +6.5
  Jan 04, 2020 46   @ Syracuse W 88-87 36%     10 - 4 1 - 1 +14.0 +21.5 -7.5
  Jan 08, 2020 45   @ North Carolina St. L 68-73 36%     10 - 5 1 - 2 +8.0 +7.6 -0.1
  Jan 11, 2020 11   Louisville L 64-67 40%     10 - 6 1 - 3 +8.8 -0.6 +9.3
  Jan 15, 2020 58   @ Georgia Tech W 78-74 41%     11 - 6 2 - 3 +15.6 +11.3 +4.1
  Jan 22, 2020 46   Syracuse L 82-84 59%     11 - 7 2 - 4 +4.9 +12.6 -7.7
  Jan 25, 2020 12   @ Florida St. L 84-85 22%     11 - 8 2 - 5 +16.6 +12.8 +3.9
  Jan 29, 2020 94   Wake Forest W 90-80 75%     12 - 8 3 - 5 +12.3 +11.9 -0.1
  Feb 01, 2020 58   Georgia Tech W 80-72 64%     13 - 8 4 - 5 +13.5 +19.2 -5.1
  Feb 05, 2020 104   Pittsburgh W 80-72 77%     14 - 8 5 - 5 +9.6 +12.4 -2.4
  Feb 09, 2020 67   @ Clemson W 61-57 44%     15 - 8 6 - 5 +14.7 +2.9 +12.3
  Feb 11, 2020 40   @ Virginia L 49-50 OT 34%     15 - 9 6 - 6 +12.5 -5.9 +18.3
  Feb 15, 2020 3   @ Duke L 60-94 14%     15 - 10 6 - 7 -13.3 -7.3 -3.5
  Feb 17, 2020 68   North Carolina W 77-76 67%     16 - 10 7 - 7 +5.7 +9.4 -3.7
  Feb 23, 2020 92   Miami (FL) W 87-71 74%     17 - 10 8 - 7 +18.4 +12.8 +5.3
  Feb 26, 2020 159   @ Boston College W 62-61 71%     18 - 10 9 - 7 +4.6 -2.4 +7.1
  Feb 29, 2020 94   @ Wake Forest L 73-84 54%     18 - 11 9 - 8 -2.7 +1.5 -4.1
  Mar 04, 2020 12   Florida St. L 71-73 41%     18 - 12 9 - 9 +9.5 +7.6 +1.8
  Mar 07, 2020 100   Virginia Tech W 64-56 76%     19 - 12 10 - 9 +10.0 -3.4 +13.8
  Mar 11, 2020 159   Boston College W 80-58 80%     20 - 12 +22.6 +7.0 +14.9
Projected Record 20 - 12 10 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 4.3% 4.3% 11.6 0.0 1.6 2.7 95.7 4.3%
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 4.3% 0.0% 4.3% 11.6 0.0 1.6 2.7 95.7 4.3%